Saturday, March 1, 2014

What's up everyone! So, I realized that I only posted twice in February and I only posted about one of 2 major winter storms. Guess what. I HAVE TIME TO POST RIGHT NOW! This is the first time in the last 2 weeks that I haven't been rushing to finish a project, application, assignment, or study for a test. School is crazy right before Spring Break but today, Saturday 3/1, I finally have some time to post!

First of all, enjoy another taste of Spring tomorrow when you can! Tomorrow here in Raleigh the mercury should rise up into the upper 60's and the skies will be clear until after noon. In the early afternoon we should begin seeing upper-tropospheric clouds forming (Cirrus and forms of cirrus), but the sun will be unblocked through sunset. As the temperatures cool off ahead of the front, lower level clouds will fill the sky. Rain can be expected early Monday morning and should continue on Monday until the mid-Afternoon. At this time, the rain could turn to ice pellets/sleet continuing until about midnight or 1:00 A.M. on Tuesday.

After thoroughly examining the BUFKIT skew-T forecasts for the next few days, I would have to agree with the current forecast on WRAL. Although temperatures will not be cold enough for ice, temperatures at about the 950 hPa (950mb, ~500m) level, temperatures will be around -7 C, which is enough below freezing that most precipitation will not melt en-route to the ground, and the cold layer is thick enough that precipitation will be frozen solid.

Once the cold front moves through on Monday, temperatures will again drop to below normal for this time of year. The average temperatures throughout the week after Monday are looking around 47 for the highs and around 27 for the lows until next Saturday, 3/8. Next weekend we should see temperatures warm up a bit again as the massive Canadian High pressure system moves through off the coast and the Sub-polar jet moves further north.

Anyway, enjoy the spring weather tomorrow!

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