Weather warming up a bit for the duration of this week on the Eastern Seaboard!

We had some beautiful fall weather last week and over the weekend with high temperatures in the 60s and lows in the 30s and 40s in the Raleigh area, but throughout the rest of this work week we can expect warmer highs and lows until the cold front moves through on Friday. Today the high is looking to be in the low 70s and the low temperature to be in the low to mid 50s. We can expect fog this morning with decreasing cloud cover throughout the day and only about a 10% chance of precipitation for the duration of the afternoon. We can also be expecting a breeze to the SW, SSW at about 5 mph in the mid afternoon.

Here is the current Radar for NC:


Winter seems to have replaced fall in the northern Midwest as cold temperatures and winter weather are now seen on a daily basis. NW Nebraska and SW South Dakota are currently both under a winter weather advisory, and a few central counties in North Dakota are under a freezing rain advisory.

Here is the national forecast loop for the next 7 days: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html

I would say that it's all quiet on the western front, but Tropical Storm Raymond is still dumping rain in the Pacific off the coast of Mexico. It is expected to weaken to a depression today though and die out soon after that. The hurricane season is just about over, and because of the cooling mid-latitude and tropical waters, chances of seeing a late-season storm is increasingly unlikely, but still possible.




If you would like to see more forecasts for the coming days and on a daily basis, one of my good friends Chris Michaels has a facebook page on which he posts regularly. Just look up "Chris Michaels" on facebook and you should see a picture of a classy looking fellow wearing a suit; that's him! Like his page and I can assure you that you will know the weather for the day, even on the days I don't post.

Summer in some states, but winter is here for the Northwest!

Fantastic weather today in the Piedmont of NC! Highs are going to be around the upper 80s and the lows around 60. Partly Cloudy skies and a gentle breeze will be prominent throughout the day as the Wolfpack travels to Winston-Salem to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons!

Weather should be good tomorrow as well although the temperature will not quite get as high (high in the mid -low 80s) and the low should be in the the mid 60s due to mostly cloudy to overcast skies throughout the day. Bring an umbrella with you tomorrow in the afternoon as we cannot yet rule out a few widely scattered showers due to some of the outer bands of Tropical Storm Karen.

On Monday we will be experiencing a Cold Front moving through as well as the remnants of Tropical Storm Karen so please be prepared for some potentially severe weather.

Tropical Update!

Tropical Storm Karen was given a name and declared a tropical cyclone Thursday morning (10/3). She is currently getting ready to make landfall in Louisiana at around 7:00 am EST on Sunday, and will turn to the NE after making landfall and weakening a bit. We should feel the full effects of her rain bands on Monday but we can't yet rule out possible showers Sunday afternoon and evening.

Continental US:

Cooler weather is assuming position in the Northwestern United States and is causing some early winter weather for the Northwest and the Northern Plains states! Freeze and Hard Freeze warnings have been issued scattered across the Northwestern States, Plains states ranging from North Dakota all the way down to Northern Texas. Blizzard warnings have been issued in central counties of North and South Dakota, and many winter weather advisories have been issued in N/S Dakota, Northern Nebraska, and Northern Texas.

All those on the East Coast be prepared for rain over the next few days!

Temperatures are increasing as we get into October? Well, that's out of the ordinary. Average temperatures for the first couple days in October are upper 70s. These couple of days though temperatures are going to reach low to mid 80s! Still not the record high temperatures (let's hope we don't reach the 90s in October again), but a little bit warmer than the brisk fall weather we have been experiencing. Much of the weather in the coming days is going to be sunshine with temperatures in the low to mid 80s during the day and lows in the mid to low 50s at night. Due to this lingering high pressure system, only partly cloudy skies will be experienced throughout the next few days.

From a National standpoint, not too much is occurring that needs to be pointed out (or at least I was not able to get much general information due to the government shutdown). There is a Red Flag warning for a few western counties in Nevada and a Frost Advisory for the southern counties in Montana.

Tropical Activity!

I was watching News 14 this morning and saw meteorologist Lee Ringer discussing the possibility of a tropical cyclone forming in the southern Caribbean Sea within the next 48 hours. Tropical Storm Jerry is currently working itself out in the mid Atlantic but should be turning toward the NE and dying out in the next few days. Other than these two updates, there is not much to call home about.

I hope everyone is having a great second week of fall and a fantastic first week in October!

Fantastic weather here in the Triangle, especially for game day! Today's High it around 80 with a low in the upper 50s tonight and variably cloudy skies throughout the day. Humidity should be at comfortable levels again today as well. It looks as though this weather will continue for a couple of days too as rain is not showing up in the models until about Sunday afternoon.

An interesting observation for this post is that there are numerous counties in the West, located in the Rockies, that are under freeze watches/warnings and frost advisories.

Tropical Activity:

There is not too much going on right now. Hurricane Manuel, now a Cat 1, is still moving up the Mexican coast toward California.

Tropical Depression Humberto is still moving to the north in the Atlantic Ocean and may be dying out soon.

There is about a 70% chance of a storm forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico and about a 10% chance of a tropical cyclone forming in the Bermuda Triangle within the next 48 hours.

I just wanted to make a short post today about Hurricane Ingrid. Ingrid is currently moving West Northwest at 6 mph. She has max sustained wind speeds of 75 mph and as a Cat 1 her eye should be making landfall by 7:00 tomorrow (Monday) morning.

You can find the public weather advisory for Mexico at this link: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/151751.shtml

There is now a high chance of a tropical system forming in the Mid Atlantic over the next couple of days. I will keep all of you posted with that development as information is received from the models.

I would also like to inform all of you that Tropical Storm Manuel is working his way up the Central American coastline and will be dumping rain throughout the region over the next couple of days.

I hope everyone had a wonderful weekend and enjoyed this first taste of fall weather!

Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to hurricane season!

It's been a pretty slow season this year up until the last couple of days:
- Hurricane Humberto gained strength a couple days ago and is moving a little faster to the north into the southern mid-Atlantic as a Cat 1 with max sustained winds at 75 knots (~86 mph). Forecasts are showing that Humberto will be weakening over the next couple of days and will return back to a tropical storm late Friday night. For more information on Hurricane Humberto visit the National Hurricane Center's web site: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

- Tropical Storm Gabrielle is taking center stage! The offshore waters of the Western Atlantic are under a Tropical Storm Warning! Tropical Storm Gabrielle is moving up the coast offshore and is taking it's time to stir up the Northwest Atlantic. There are currently no coastal watches or advisories but watercraft in the area should be careful. The center of Gabrielle was last located near [latitude 33.9 north, longitude 67.7 west] with max sustained winds at 35 knots (40 mph) extending outward up to 105 miles. She is moving north northeast at about 7 knots (8 mph) and will be speeding up and weakening over the next few days. For more information on Hurricane Humberto visit the National Hurricane Center's web site: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

- May I also inform you that there is a 60% chance of a tropical cyclone developing in the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days. The upper level jet stream is way north near the great lakes so the air is relatively static near the Gulf. Only some 17-25 kt easterlies will be experienced in this region over the next couple of days allowing for moisture to gather in the atmosphere.

US Forecast

Raleigh is going to be experiencing some wonderful early fall weather this Saturday as the high is only supposed to reach the mid 70s. For the rest of Thursday into Thursday night there are possible isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms for the area.

Many of the New England States are under a severe thunderstorm watch right now and these could develop into warnings over the next 24 hours with the effects of Gabrielle and the Low Pressure System that is moving through.

Careful of flooding out in the West! Flash flood watches in effect for about 2/3 of the counties of New Mexico and much of Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Idaho, and Colorado as the front passes to the east.

Central North Carolinians can expect more consistent weather this weekend and through the beginning of next week. Temperatures will be fluctuating a little bit throughout the next few days. Highs will be staying in the mid to upper 80s and partly cloudy conditions will ensue the Piedmont region. This is perfect weather for this weekends game for the Wolfpack against the Richmond Spiders!

http://www.wral.com/weather/7day/

Heat advisories are in effect for most of the Dakota counties. Also, there is an air quality alert for the Dallas/Fort Worth Texas region.

As patterns have changed over the past couple of weeks, rain has come to the Northwestern US. There are many counties in Washington State and Oregon that are experiencing heavy rain and are under flood watches. Alaska also has a few advisories. Anchorage is under a flood advisory and most of the coast between Anchorage and Dutch Harbor is under a storm advisory with forecasted winds between 30 and 40 knots (26-35 mph) and seas of about 13 feet. 

Tropical Activity! 

Gabrielle is still dumping rain on Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. There is also a low chance of a tropical storm forming in the Atlantic. 

New storm categorized as a Tropical Storm, Tropical Storm Lorena, is formed in the Eastern Pacific and is currently approaching Baja, California.